{ "format": "runmontecarlo-riskproj", "formatVersion": 1, "savedAt": "2026-07-19T05:14:50.074Z", "preset": "typical", "model": { "name": "Tower C — Substation & Civils", "dataDate": "2026-09-01", "hpd": 8, "activities": [ { "id": "A1000", "code": "A1000", "name": "Mobilisation", "dur": 10, "cost": 120000, "preds": [], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1010", "code": "A1010", "name": "Site clearance", "dur": 15, "cost": 90000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1000", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1020", "code": "A1020", "name": "Earthworks & excavation", "dur": 25, "cost": 400000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1010", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1030", "code": "A1030", "name": "Piling", "dur": 30, "cost": 600000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1020", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1040", "code": "A1040", "name": "Foundations & pilecaps", "dur": 20, "cost": 350000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1030", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1050", "code": "A1050", "name": "Utility diversions", "dur": 18, "cost": 150000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1010", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1060", "code": "A1060", "name": "Drainage", "dur": 22, "cost": 200000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1020", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1070", "code": "A1070", "name": "Substation substructure", "dur": 20, "cost": 300000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1040", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1080", "code": "A1080", "name": "Building superstructure", "dur": 35, "cost": 900000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1070", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1090", "code": "A1090", "name": "M&E first fix", "dur": 25, "cost": 450000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1080", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1100", "code": "A1100", "name": "Switchgear installation", "dur": 30, "cost": 1200000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1090", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 }, { "id": "A1050", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1110", "code": "A1110", "name": "Cabling & terminations", "dur": 20, "cost": 300000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1100", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1120", "code": "A1120", "name": "M&E second fix", "dur": 15, "cost": 250000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1090", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1130", "code": "A1130", "name": "Testing & commissioning", "dur": 20, "cost": 180000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1110", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 }, { "id": "A1120", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1140", "code": "A1140", "name": "Landscaping & reinstatement", "dur": 12, "cost": 90000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1060", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 }, { "id": "A1080", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" }, { "id": "A1150", "code": "A1150", "name": "Handover", "dur": 5, "cost": 20000, "preds": [ { "id": "A1130", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 }, { "id": "A1140", "type": "FS", "lag": 0 } ], "cstr": "" } ], "risks": [ { "id": "R-01", "title": "Late utility diversion consent", "type": "threat", "owner": "S. Iqbal", "p": 0.35, "dist": "triangular", "min": 10, "likely": 20, "max": 45, "map": [ "A1050" ], "combine": "fragnet", "costL": 45000, "post": { "p": 0.15, "min": 5, "likely": 10, "max": 20 }, "mitCost": 15000, "mitigation": "Early engagement with utility; pre-application consent" }, { "id": "R-02", "title": "Ground conditions worse than expected", "type": "threat", "owner": "A. Mason", "p": 0.4, "dist": "pert", "min": 15, "likely": 30, "max": 60, "map": [ "A1020", "A1030" ], "costL": 80000, "post": { "p": 0.25, "min": 10, "likely": 18, "max": 35 }, "mitCost": 40000, "mitigation": "Additional ground investigation boreholes" }, { "id": "R-03", "title": "Switchgear delivery delay", "type": "threat", "owner": "D. Chen", "p": 0.3, "dist": "triangular", "min": 20, "likely": 40, "max": 80, "map": [ "A1100" ], "costL": 120000, "post": { "p": 0.15, "min": 10, "likely": 20, "max": 40 }, "mitCost": 60000, "mitigation": "Early procurement + expediting agent" }, { "id": "R-04", "title": "Early possession granted", "type": "opportunity", "owner": "A. Mason", "p": 0.25, "dist": "triangular", "min": 5, "likely": 10, "max": 15, "map": [ "A1000" ], "costL": 20000, "post": null, "mitCost": 0, "mitigation": "" }, { "id": "R-05", "title": "Commissioning defects", "type": "threat", "owner": "D. Chen", "p": 0.45, "dist": "pert", "min": 5, "likely": 15, "max": 30, "map": [ "A1130" ], "costL": 30000, "post": { "p": 0.3, "min": 3, "likely": 8, "max": 18 }, "mitCost": 20000, "mitigation": "FAT witness testing + pre-commissioning checks" } ], "ranges": { "A1000": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1010": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1020": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1030": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1040": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1050": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1060": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1070": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1080": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1090": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1100": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1110": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1120": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1130": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1140": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" }, "A1150": { "min": -10, "likely": 0, "max": 25, "dist": "triangular" } }, "corrGroups": [ { "label": "Groundworks crew", "rho": 0.8, "ids": [ "A1020", "A1030", "A1040" ] } ], "source": "demo", "history": [], "branding": { "analyst": "", "org": "", "ref": "", "logo": "" } } }